Feb 15, 2019

Who has the highest potential to change the world?

Today, a friend asked me: "Out of everyone you know, who has highest potential to change the world?"

My reply, slightly edited for clarity:

I don’t think this framing appropriately accounts for complexity.

Each person is a component of a complex system. Interactions between components are poorly understood and difficult to model.

I could answer something like "who do I think is most likely to become famous, or rich?"

But those are much narrower questions.